省域体育赛事消费主体经济拉动效应的量化评估江苏省城市足球联赛实证研究

    Quantitative Evaluation of the Economic Stimulus Effect of Consumer Entities in Provincial-Level Sports EventsAn Empirical Study on Jiangsu Football City League

    • 摘要: 目的:以江苏省城市足球联赛(以下简称“苏超”)为例,对省域体育赛事消费主体经济拉动效应进行量化评估。方法:采用随机抽样的方法对联赛现场观众进行问卷调查获取消费数据,调查范围为“苏超”第4—6轮的13场比赛,共获得有效问卷2 332份。基于观众类型和消费内容估算直接经济拉动效应,采用投入产出模型测算间接经济拉动效应。结果:“苏超”外地观众占比38.25%,本地观众占比61.75%,预计整个赛季现场观众总人数约265万人。从观众平均消费支出统计来看,外地观众人均消费为592.94元,本地观众人均消费为229.60元,推算“苏超”消费主体在全部比赛中的直接经济拉动值为9.76亿元,间接经济拉动值为21.36亿元,总经济拉动值为31.12亿元。“苏超”消费主体中外地观众的经济影响乘数效应为3.05,本地观众为3.41,合计为3.19。结论:“苏超”具有显著的直接和间接经济拉动效应,并且通过文体商旅融合展现出较高的经济影响乘数效应。

       

      Abstract: Objective: This study aims to quantify the economic stimulus effect of consumer entities in provincial-level sports events, using the Jiangsu Football City League (Suchao) as a case study. Method: A randomized survey was administered to live spectators across 13 matches (Rounds 4−6) of the Suchao, yielding 2 332 valid questionnaires for consumption data analysis. Direct economic stimulus effects were estimated based on spectator type and spending patterns, while indirect effects were calculated using an input-output model. Result: Findings reveal a total estimated live attendance of 2.65 million (38.25% non-local vs 61.75% local), with non-local spectators spending an average of 592.94 yuan and local spectators 229.60 yuan. Suchao generated direct, indirect, and total economic stimulus values of 976 million yuan, 2.136 billion yuan, and 3.112 billion yuan, respectively. The economic multiplier effects were 3.05 for non-local spectators, 3.41 for local spectators, and an aggregate of 3.19. Conclusions: The study concludes that Suchao significantly drives both direct and indirect economic growth, amplified by the integration of cultural, sports, commercial, and tourism sectors.

       

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