体育赛事驱动居民消费潜力释放:理论机制与实证检验

    Unleashing Consumer Spending Potential through Sports Events: Theoretical Mechanism and Empirical Test

    • 摘要: 基于2014—2023年我国30个省份的面板数据,实证分析体育赛事驱动居民消费潜力释放的影响机制。研究发现:1)体育赛事对居民消费潜力释放具有显著正向促进作用,且在一系列稳健性、内生性检验后仍然稳健。2)机制检验揭示体育赛事通过消费结构优化及产业结构升级双轮驱动效应实现促进居民消费潜力释放。在需求侧通过优化消费结构激发潜在需求,在供给侧通过推动体育产业与相关产业融合升级提升供给质量,形成供需良性互动的传导机制。3)在异质性上,高收入群体因消费能力与需求弹性优势,消费响应强度高于低收入群体;东部地区凭借经济基础、产业配套与市场规模优势,赛事经济效应辐射力明显强于中部、西部地区;高市场化地区基于资源配置效率与价格机制优势,其消费促进效应强于低市场化地区。研究表明,体育赛事通过双路径传导机制协同激发居民消费潜力:1)有效激发居民在健康、社交、自我实现等方面的进阶需求,驱动消费结构从物质型向服务型、标准化向个性化优化;2)体育赛事强大的产业关联效应与创新外溢效应,反推并引领产业结构的升级与体育产业链的完善,通过创造新供给、新场景,产生显著的消费乘数效应,形成消费增长新动能。建议:提升赛事消费体验,推出差异化消费产品与服务;优化赛事产品供给,强化赛事宣传推广力度;创新赛事附加服务模式,构建全方位综合赛事体验;提升赛事产业链价值,推动产业结构优化升级。

       

      Abstract: As a crucial strategic pivot for activating consumer spending potential, sports events exhibit a significant multiplier effect in expanding domestic demand and driving economic growth. This study empirically analyzes the impact mechanisms of sports events on unleashing consumer spending potential using panel data from 30 provinces of China between 2014 and 2023. Key findings include: 1) Sports events significantly and positively promote the unleashing of consumer spending potential, with results remaining robust after rigorous robustness and endogeneity tests; 2) mechanism analysis reveals a dual-driver effect through “consumption structure optimization and industrial structural upgrading”, where demand-side potential is activated via refined consumption patterns while supply-side quality is enhanced through industrial integration and upgrading, creating a virtuous supply-demand synergy transmission mechanism; 3) heterogeneity analysis shows stronger consumption responsiveness among high-income groups due to financial capacity and demand elasticity, greater spillover effects in event-driven economic activities in eastern regions owing to economic foundations, industrial clusters, and market scales, and superior consumption-boosting effects in highly market-oriented regions benefiting from resource allocation efficiency and price mechanism advantages. The conclusions highlight two synergistic pathways: 1) Sports events stimulate advanced needs in health, social interaction, and self-actualization, driving consumption structure upgrades from material-based to service-oriented and standardized to personalized; 2) concurrently, their industrial linkage and innovation spillover effects propel industrial upgrading and sports industry chain refinement, generating consumption multipliers through novel supplies and scenarios. Policy recommendations include enhancing event consumption experiences with differentiated offerings, optimizing event product supply while intensifying promotional efforts, innovating ancillary service models for holistic event experiences, and elevating value of the event industry chain to advance structural optimization and industrial upgrading.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回