大型体育设施供给PPP模式的合作博弈分析

    Analysis on Construction of Major Sports Facilities Based on PPP Mode through Cooperative Game

    • 摘要: PPP模式是未来我国体育场 (馆) 建设的一个重要发展方向。借助博弈论方法, 通过对鸟巢案例的分析, 设计了一个场 (馆) PPP合作的最优收益分配模型, 认为缔约各方收益分配是目前国内大型体育设施PPP模式成功与否的关键, 只有合作各方收益大于未合作收益, 合作才有成功的可能。在完全市场化条件下, 参与方讨价还价能力、投资合作资源的重要性和风险偏好程度决定了合作收益的分配比例。并依据该模型提出我国体育场 (馆) PPP模式的相关政策建议。

       

      Abstract: PPP mode is an important development direction of future sports stadium construction in China.This paper, through analyzing the case of bird's nest based on game theory, designs the optimized distribution mode of one stadium PPP cooperation.The result shows that income distribution signed by each party is the key for PPP mode success and failure in major sports facilities construction.Only the income of cooperative party is far more than that of uncooperative party, the cooperation has the opportunity to success.Under the condition of market, the bargaining power ability, importance of investment cooperative resource and risk preference decides the proportion of cooperative benefit.Based on this mode, some relevant suggestions of our sports stadium PPP mode are put forwarded.

       

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