中国竞技体育发展的空间自相关特征研究

    The Space Autocorrelation Characteristics of Chinese Sports Development

    • 摘要: 选取全国31个省 (自治区、直辖市) 第711届全运会的奖牌总数作为分析样本, 采用地理空间计量分析模型, 对我国区域竞技体育发展的空间自相关特征进行实证研究。结果表明:1) 各地区竞技体育发展的空间依赖程度逐渐增强, 区域竞技体育发展总体上存在正的空间自相关关系, 但空间集聚和极化效应较明显;2) 近20年来, 我国竞技体育发展水平已取得较大幅度提升, 东、中、西部地区竞技体育发展的空间自相关作用日渐增强, 各区域内的空间依赖关系进一步明确;3) 目前, 全国绝大多数地区竞技体育的发展与其周边邻接区域始终未存在显著的空间集聚关系, 区域竞技体育发展之间的空间联动效应还有待于进一步提升。据此结论, 提出相应建议。

       

      Abstract: Selecting the 711 games total medals of 31 provinces (autonomous regions, municipalities directly under the central government) as analysis sample, using spatial econometric model, this paper makes empirical study on space autocorrelation characteristic of regional competitive sports development in China.The results show that 1) space dependence degree of regional sports development increased gradually, the influence by neighboring region is more and more big, the regional competitive sports development have the positive spatial autocorrelation relationship, but the effect of spatial agglomeration and polarization is obvious;2) the development level of China's competitive sports has been greatly ascension in recent 20 years, the spatital autocorrelation function is increasing in East, middle and West, the area of spatial dependence is further clear;3) there is not significant geographical agglomeration relationship in most areas of current national sports development, spatial linkage effect between regional sports development remains to be further enhance.According to the research results, this paper puts forward some suggestions and enlightenment, in order to indicate the direction for the followup researches.

       

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