马德浩. 2019: 人口结构转变视域下的上海体育发展战略研究. 体育科学, 39(4): 51-62. DOI: 10.16469/j.css.201904006
    引用本文: 马德浩. 2019: 人口结构转变视域下的上海体育发展战略研究. 体育科学, 39(4): 51-62. DOI: 10.16469/j.css.201904006
    MA De-hao. 2019: Research on Shanghai Sports Development Strategy under Population Structure Transition. China Sport Science, 39(4): 51-62. DOI: 10.16469/j.css.201904006
    Citation: MA De-hao. 2019: Research on Shanghai Sports Development Strategy under Population Structure Transition. China Sport Science, 39(4): 51-62. DOI: 10.16469/j.css.201904006

    人口结构转变视域下的上海体育发展战略研究

    Research on Shanghai Sports Development Strategy under Population Structure Transition

    • 摘要: 从年龄、性别、家庭、阶层、空间5个维度分析上海人口结构转变对体育发展战略的影响。得出以下主要结论:1) 人口深度老龄化要求积极发挥体育的健康促进价值;2) 青少年人口占比萎缩要求转变竞技体育后备人才培养模式;3) 男性人口预期寿命相对偏低要求加强男性体育参与干预;4) 出生性别比相对偏高要求重视女性竞技体育的可持续发展;5) 家庭稳定性下降要求强化开展家庭体育;6) 空巢老人数量增多要求为其提供有针对性的公共体育服务;7) 橄榄型阶层结构日趋形成要求激活中等收入人群的体育消费牵引作用;8) 新社会阶层人口规模的壮大要求关注其体育参与情况;9) 城乡居民收入差距拉大要求保障农村居民的公共体育服务供给;10) 人口区域分布的变化要求科学统筹公共体育资源布局。

       

      Abstract: This paper analyzed the influences of Shanghai's population structure transition on sports development strategy from age, gender, family, class and space. The following main conclusions were drawn: 1) the ageing of population required government to actively promote health promotion value of sports; 2) the shrinkage of young people's proportion required government to change training model of competitive sports reserve talents; 3) the relatively low life expectancy of male population required government to strengthen intervention in their sports participation; 4) the relatively high sex ratio at birth required government to pay attention to the sustainable development of female competitive sports; 5) the decline in family stability required government to strengthen family sports; 6) the increase of empty nesters required government to provide targeted public sports services for them; 7) the growing formation of olive-shaped stratum structure required government to activate middle-income groups' traction function of sports consumption; 8) the growth of new social class required government to pay attention to their sports participation; 9) the widening income gap between urban and rural residents required government to ensure provision of public sports services for rural residents; 10) the change in regional distribution of population required government to scientifically coordinate distribution of public sports resources.

       

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