社会福利视角下中国体育彩票销售综合指数体系的完善与应用

    Perfection and Application of the Sports Lottery Sales Composite Index System in China

    • 摘要: 从社会福利视角出发,借鉴国内、外相关综合指数构建方法和思路,并受经济学、天文学和社会学等文献启发,基于世界彩票业基本规律,立足于中国经济和彩票业实际情况,对已有研究加以进一步完善,构建了中国体育彩票销售综合指数体系。研究发现,当前中国体育彩票社会福利效果不均衡;体育彩票与福利彩票基本上是互补关系;2015年“互联网彩票禁售”和2019年“新兴类彩票调整”两项政策,兼具有效性和有限性。建议国家体育总局体育彩票管理中心及各省(区、市)体育彩票管理中心树立社会福利效果最优化的发行目标,以本文构建的指数体系为抓手,改善中国体育彩票社会福利效果不均衡的局面,并在体育彩票发行和销售过程中,于事前建立风险防范机制,于事中建立适时调节机制。同时,积极联合福利彩票做优中国公立彩票产业,会同政府其他部门打击非法博彩活动。

       

      Abstract: From the perspective of social welfare, this paper draws on the construction methods and ideas of relevant domestic and foreign papers on composite indexes, and is inspired by the literatures on economics, astronomy and sociology. Based on the basic principle in the world lottery industry and rooted in the real actual situation on economy and lottery industry in China, we further improve the existing research, so as to construct a set of scientific, comprehensive, accurate and perfect sports lottery sales composite index system in China. The paper finds: the current social welfare effect of sports lottery in China is imbalance; sports lottery and welfare lottery are basically complementary; the two major policies of“the Ban of the Internet Lottery in 2015”and“the Adjustment on Fast & Toto Lottery in 2019”are both effective and limited. We put forward the following suggestions: Sports Lottery Management Center of General Administration of Sports of China and its branches in provinces should establish the issuance goal of optimizing the social welfare effect, reverse the imbalance of the social welfare effect with the index system in this paper,and construct a precautionary mechanism for risk in advance and an adjustment mechanism timely in process during the course of issuing and selling sports lottery; unite welfare lottery to optimize the Chinese public lottery industry; join hands with other government departments to crack down on illegal gambling.

       

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