竞技短板冲浪运动项目成绩影响因素的综合评价体系构建与实证

    Construction and Demonstration of a Comprehensive Evaluation System of Factors Influencing the Performance for Competitive Short-Board Surfing

    • 摘要: 目的:构建竞技短板冲浪运动项目成绩影响因素的综合评价体系并进行验证分析。方法:借助德尔菲法构建综合评价体系,并计算各影响因素权重,利用逆序数检验法进行综合评价体系的有效性验证。结果:竞技短板冲浪运动成绩影响因素的综合评价体系包括7个一级指标、22个二级指标。由技术动作、完成情况、战术安排、自身情况4个一级指标组成的内部环境对最终成绩起决定性作用,影响权重共计85.96%;由环境因素、人为因素、器材因素3个一级指标组成的外部环境影响权重较低,为14.04%。基于2020年全国冲浪锦标赛和世界冲浪联盟巡回赛的实证分析结果表明,利用本研究构建的综合评价体系得到的结果与真实比赛成绩排名结果具有较高的一致性。结论:本研究构建的竞技短板冲浪运动项目成绩影响因素的综合评价体系具有较好的有效性。

       

      Abstract: Objective: To constructi a comprehensive evaluation system and analyze the factors influencing the performance for shortboard surfing competitions. Methods: The Delphi method and analytic hierarchy process were used to build a comprehensive evaluation system, and then the influence degree of each factor was calculated. The effectiveness of the theoretical model of winning factors was verified by the inverse number test method. Results: The comprehensive evaluation system of factors influencing the performance for short-board surfing includes 7 first-level indexes and 22 secondary-level indexes. The internal environment composed of four fisrt-level indexes including technology, completion, tactics and body played a decisive role in the final result,which accounting for 85.96% of the influence degree. The external environment composed of three first-level indexes, including environment, artificial factors and equipment, had a lower influence degree which was only 14.04%. Based on the 2020 National Surfing Championship and the World Surfing League Tour, the validity of the comprehensive evaluation system of factors influencing the performance for short-board surfing was verified by the Reverses number test method. The results showed that this comprehensive evaluation system and the proportion of its influence degree were highly associated with the results of international authoritative rankings. Conclusions: The comprehensive evaluation system of factors influencing the performance for short-board surfing constructed in this study has good validity.

       

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